Week 7 · ESPN+ · Malone Stadium
Monroe, LA · 74° · 7 mph
All-time series
Louisiana Tech 12 – 3 UL Monroe
15 since 1975 · LT 8 straight
Last 2000 Louisiana Tech 42–19
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Louisiana Tech is favored: 81% to win, by about 14 points.
Betting markets like Louisiana Tech a bit more (84%, by 15.3).
Our model 81%Market 84%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | Louisiana Tech by 13.5 |
| Betting market | 84% | Louisiana Tech by 15.3 |
| Difference | 3 pts | 1.7 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Louisiana TechvsUL Monroe
87
TE
27 rec · 325 yds · 4 TD
TE
LT +2562
TE
14 rec · 101 yds · 1 TD
85
LB
34 tkl · 8 TFL · 5 sacks
LB
LT +1669
LB
11 tkl · 2 TFL · 0 sacks
81
DB
28 tkl · 3 INT · 1 PD
DB
LT +1170
DB
13 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Louisiana Tech -14.5, now -15.3: moved 0.8 points toward Louisiana Tech
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.