Week 7 · ESPN2 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Norfolk, VA · 70° Clear · 9 mph
All-time series
Georgia Southern 2 – 3 Old Dominion
5 since 2011 · ODU 3 straight
Last 2025 Old Dominion 45–10
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Georgia Southern is favored: 59% to win, by about 3 points.
Betting markets like Georgia Southern a bit more (62%, by 3.5).
Our model 59%Market 62%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | Georgia Southern by 3.4 |
| Betting market | 62% | Georgia Southern by 3.5 |
| Difference | 3 pts | 0.1 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Georgia SouthernvsOld Dominion
69
DL
1 tkl · 0 sacks · 1 TFL
DL
ODU +1786
DL
15 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 8 TFL
77
LB
28 tkl · 5 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
ODU +784
LB
37 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Georgia Southern -3, now -3.5: moved 0.5 points toward Georgia Southern
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.