Week 11 · Glass Bowl
Toledo, OH · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Massachusetts 1 – 8 Toledo
9 since 1976 · TOL 8 straight
Last 2024 Toledo 38–23
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Toledo is favored: 77% to win, by about 11 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 77%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | Toledo by 11.4 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
MassachusettsvsToledo
70
QB
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
QB
MASS +763
QB
1,565 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
72
DL
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2 TFL
DL
TOL +1486
DE
32 tkl · 5 sacks · 8 TFL
75
LB
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
TOL +378
LB
44 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
74
S
10 tkl · 3 INT · 1 PD
DB
even74
S
51 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.