As of kickoff
Established rivalry
Week 5 · ESPN+ · Scheumann Stadium
Muncie, IN · 68° Clear · 8 mph
All-time series
Toledo 29 – 21 Ball State
51 since 1975 · 1 tie · TOL 5 straight
Last 2026 Toledo 39–24
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Toledo · hit.
We
Toledo by 21.4
Close
Toledo by 20.8
Final
Toledo by 15
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Toledo); the number, within a score.
Missed — the number — market was closer (6 pts off vs our 6).
Toledo
39
Final
Toledo won
Ball State
24
How it was won
- 1.CJ Miller 68 Yd Run
- 2.Toledo out-gained Ball State 553-370, and the run game was 352-132 Toledo's way.
- 3.Toledo converted 8 of 18 third downs; Ball State went 5 of 12.
The Matchup
ToledovsBall State
63
QB
1,565 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
QB
TOL +855
QB
871 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
86
DE
32 tkl · 5 sacks · 8 TFL
DL
TOL +1967
DE
14 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 TFL
78
LB
44 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
TOL +573
LB
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
74
S
51 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
DB
TOL +470
DB
10 tkl · 1 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Toledo -18.5, now -18.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.