Established rivalry
Week 7 · ESPN · Yulman Stadium
New Orleans, LA · 79° Fair · 8 mph
All-time series
Memphis 25 – 16 Tulane
42 since 1954 · 1 tie
Last 2025 Tulane 38–32
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Memphis is favored: 71% to win, by about 9 points.
Betting markets like Memphis a bit less (70%, by 7).
Our model 71%Market 70%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | Memphis by 8.6 |
| Betting market | 70% | Memphis by 7 |
| Difference | 1 pts | 1.6 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
MemphisvsTulane
79
QB
1,535 yds · 16 TD · 3 INT
QB
MEM +2950
QB
804 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
83
RB
645 yds · 8 TD · 4 rec
RB
MEM +578
RB
277 yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
87
TE
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
TE
MEM +3156
TE
2 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
83
DL
19 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
MEM +1073
DE
17 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Memphis -7, now -7: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.