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Games / Week 5 / Memphis @ Charlotte
64
Away
Tigers
#72 · 3-1
As of kickoff
Week 5 · ESPN+ · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Charlotte, NC · 75° Cloudy · 0 mph
All-time series
Memphis 3 – 0 Charlotte
3 since 2023 · MEM 3 straight
Last 2026 Memphis 59–8
40
49ers
#134 · 0-4
Home
Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Memphis · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
Memphis by 16.4
Close
Memphis by 19.5
Final
Memphis by 51
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (Memphis).

Missed — the number — market was closer (32 pts off vs our 35); the margin (final Memphis by 51, we had Memphis by 16.4).

Memphis
59
Final
Memphis won
Charlotte
8
How it was won
  1. 1.Memphis out-gained Charlotte 674-209, and the run game was 288-132 Memphis's way.
  2. 2.Stonka Burnside 28 Yd pass from Marcus Stokes
  3. 3.Memphis converted 10 of 16 third downs; Charlotte went 1 of 10.

The Matchup

MemphisvsCharlotte
QB
MEM +27
52
QB
1,415 yds · 8 TD · 8 INT
RB
MEM +20
63
RB
208 yds · 1 TD · 3 rec
68
WR
23 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
WR
even
68
WR
14 rec · 268 yds · 2 TD
TE
MEM +33
54
TE
0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD
78
OL
OL
MEM +25
53
OL
0 starts
83
DL
19 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
MEM +10
73
DL
13 tkl · 1 sacks · 3.5 TFL
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Memphis -21, now -21: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.