As of kickoff
Week 4 · CBSSN · Glass Bowl
Toledo, OH · 66° Clear · 4 mph
All-time series
San Diego State 1 – 1 Toledo
2 since 2022
Last 2026 Toledo 41–16
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Toledo · hit.
We
Toledo by 3.7
Close
Toledo by 2.8
Final
Toledo by 25
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Toledo); closer than the market (21 pts off vs 22).
Missed — the margin (final Toledo by 25, we had Toledo by 3.7).
San Diego State
16
Final
Toledo won
Toledo
41
How it was won
- 1.Richter pass complete deep middle to Hammer caught at SDSU 42, for 78 yards, touchdown
- 2.Toledo out-gained San Diego State 494-296, and the run game was 210-48 Toledo's way.
- 3.Toledo converted 8 of 15 third downs; San Diego State went 3 of 14.
The Matchup
San Diego StatevsToledo
53
QB
66 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
QB
TOL +1063
QB
1,565 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
77
DL
17 tkl · 3 sacks · 5.5 TFL
DL
TOL +986
DE
32 tkl · 5 sacks · 8 TFL
76
LB
55 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
TOL +278
LB
44 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
86
S
70 tkl · 1 INT · 8 PD
DB
SDSU +1274
S
51 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Toledo -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.