Minnesota at Penn State

Games / Week 11 / Minnesota @ Penn State

Away

Minnesota

Golden Gophers

#63 · 4-2

Week 11 · Beaver Stadium

University Park, PA · Forecast TBA

All-time series

Minnesota 6 – 11 Penn State

17 since 1993 · PSU 2 straight

Last 2024 Penn State 26–25

Penn State

Nittany Lions

#33 · 3-3

Home

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcP.J. Fleck70

ocGreg Harbaugh Jr.62

dcDanny Collins59

Injuries

B10 availability report · week 6 at Purdue

Ashton Beers OL #78Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Brett Carroll OL #56Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Elisha West DB #26Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Enoch Atewogbola DL #47Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Hayden Moore WR #84Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Ryan Estrada RB #20Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Jaden Ball OL #58Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Donielle Hayes WR #18Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Michael Merdinger QB #12Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.

Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Penn State is favored: 74% to win, by about 10 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 74%

	Win chance	Expected margin
Our model	74%	Penn State by 10.1
Betting market	—	—
Difference	—	—

The Matchup

MinnesotavsPenn State

Drake Lindsey

1,335 yds · 9 TD · 5 INT

PSU +13

Rocco Becht

1,397 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT

A.J. Turner

44 yds · 1 TD · 1 rec

MINN +8

Carson Hansen

227 yds · 3 TD · 4 rec

Jalen Smith

15 rec · 210 yds · 3 TD

PSU +1

Chase Sowell

23 rec · 359 yds · 2 TD

Pierce Walsh

6 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD

PSU +17

Gabe Burkle

4 rec · 33 yds · 0 TD

Greg Johnson

6 starts

PSU +10

Anthony Donkoh

6 starts

TJ Bush Jr.

23 tkl · 4 sacks · 6 TFL

MINN +4

Yvan Kemajou

13 tkl · 1 sacks · 2.5 TFL

Maverick Baranowski

45 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks

Ball Hawk

PSU +12

★Tony Rojas

44 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 4 sacks

+1Ball Hawk Backfield Wrecker

John Nestor

20 tkl · 1 INT · 2 PD

PSU +5

Audavion Collins

11 tkl · 0 INT · 7 PD

Lockdown

Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.

Model track record

A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcMatt Campbell77

ocTaylor Mouser72

dcD'Anton Lynn80

Injuries

B10 availability report · week 6 vs. USC

Cam Smith LB #26Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Christian Askew S #30Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Cooper Alexander TE #80Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Dayshaun Burnett DE #43Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Joshua Johnson CB #15Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Koby Howard WR #6Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

LaVar Arrington II DE #11Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Mason Robinson DE #42Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Max Granville DE #18Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Tyler Armstead CB #35Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Will Tompkins OL #66Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 3 straight reports

Cristiano Rosa PK #95Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out · listed out 2 straight reports

Alex Tatsch LB #25Out

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Armstrong Nnodim DT #91Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Probable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.