Heated rivalry
Week 9 · Kinnick Stadium
Iowa City, IA · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Wisconsin 49 – 48 Iowa
99 since 1894 · 2 ties · IOWA 4 straight
Last 2025 Iowa 37–0
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Iowa is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 61%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | Iowa by 4.4 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
WisconsinvsIowa
77
DL
10 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
DL
even77
DL
19 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
83
LB
15 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
WIS +380
LB
52 tkl · 5 TFL · 2 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.