Week 11 · Jack Trice Stadium
Ames, IA · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Cincinnati 1 – 2 Iowa State
3 since 2023
Last 2025 Cincinnati 38–30
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Iowa State is favored: 71% to win, by about 9 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 71%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | Iowa State by 8.5 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
CincinnativsIowa State
79
RB
330 yds · 6 TD · 8 rec
RB
ISU +281
RB
680 yds · 6 TD · 10 rec
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.