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Coaches / Head coach / Lovie Smith
Career
58
not coaching now
Rating55recent
Peak55best 5 yrs
Career58whole career
confidence

Lovie Smith

Head coach

Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.

Chemistry
Chem 68: typical68
continuity at Illinois · early
Seasons here—
Programs1
Stints1

Career path

Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
2016–2020IllinoisHead Coach

Chemistry

vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
How much continuity and loyalty his programs carryat Illinois
Tenure here — Seasons as head coach at his current schoolTenure here70Staff continuity — Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked togetherStaff continuity78Player retention — Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)Player retention58Followers — Players and staff who followed him from his previous jobFollowers60QB & coordinator — How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinatorQB & coordinator68Roster continuity — Share of starters returning from one season to the next under himRoster continuity76
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
70
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
78
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
58
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
60
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
68
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
76
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.

As head coach

Rating55Peak55Career58
2016–2020 · 5 seasonsRecord 17-39National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)Career: too early to rank all-time (8+ seasons as a head coach)
  • Rating 55: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
  • Peak 55: best five-season stretch, 2016–2019 at Illinois (15-34), taking over an average program.

Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.

SeasonTeamRecordSeason rankvs contemporaries
2020Illinois2-5#58-0.67 SD
2019Illinois6-7#63-0.03 SD
2018Illinois4-8#101-0.83 SD
2017Illinois2-10#105-0.87 SD
2016Illinois3-9#99-0.82 SD
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).