Coaches / Head coach / Carl Pelini
Career
60
not coaching now
Rating58recent
Peak58best 5 yrs
Career60whole career
confidence
Carl Pelini
Head coach
Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.
Chemistry
—
index in development
Seasons here—
Programs2
Stints3
Career path
Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
As head coach
Rating58Peak58Career60
2012–2018 · 3 seasonsRecord 7-18National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)Career: too early to rank all-time (8+ seasons as a head coach)
- Rating 58: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
- Peak 58: best five-season stretch, 2012–2018 at Florida Atlantic and Bowling Green (7-18).
Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.
| Season | Team | Record | Season rank | vs contemporaries |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Bowling Green | 2-3 | #124 | -1.66 SD |
| 2013 | Florida Atlantic | 2-6 | #78 | -0.31 SD |
| 2012 | Florida Atlantic | 3-9 | #100 | -0.93 SD |
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).
As defensive coordinator
Rating49Peak49
His defense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.
| Season | Team | Unit (EPA/play) | Over expectation | Season score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Bowling Green | -0.15 | -0.08 | -1.49 |
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.